Number Of Annual New HIV Cases In US Higher Than Previously Thought
The number of new annual HIVcases in the
Researchers and public health officials who have been briefed on the new datahave said CDC next year likely will release figuresindicating that in 2005, new HIV cases were 20% to 50% higher than previouslythought -- translating to a total of up to 60,000 new cases annually. The finalnumber is pending peer review by a scientific journal, the Journal reports(Chase/McKay, Wall Street Journal, 12/1).
CDC for more than 10 years reported that 40,000 new HIV cases occur annually inthe
According to the Times, the Washington Bladeon Nov. 14 reported that the new estimate showed that between 58,000 to 63,000people became HIV-positive during the most recent 12-month period. An unnamedfederal official said the new estimate was higher than the old one but not ashigh as reported in the Blade. Tom Skinner, a CDC spokesperson, saidthat the agency is "not in a position to say one way or another whetherthe numbers will actually be up from current estimates" until the peerreview is completed.
It is unclear to what extent more people were becoming HIV-positive or if thenew numbers are a better estimate than the old ones, the Times reports(Harris, New York Times, 12/2). It will take additional yearsusing the new methodology to determine whether HIV cases are increasing or havebeen underreported, the Post reports (Washington Post,12/1).
Kevin Fenton -- director ofCDC's National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis,STD and TB Prevention-- emphasized that the "new estimates are not yet final," adding thatthe "new system will provide the clearest picture to date of new HIV infections" in the
David Holtgrave, an epidemiologist with the
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