Type 2 Diabetes Cases To Rise 98 Percent By 2020

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Due to rising obesity rates, a 2020 prediction states type 2 diabetes could raise up to 98 percent. The report "A prediction of Obesity Trends for Adults and their associated diseases: Analysis from the Health Survey for England 1993-2007" published today is an updated report from research released in 2007. Diabetes isn't the only disease that will be on the rise, heart disease and cancer will also increase because of obesity.

Oxford University's Kim McPherson, of the National Heart Forum, produced the updated analysis of 2020 overweight and obesity rates using recent information from Health Survey for England (HSE). McPherson calculated the new data then compared it to previous estimates published in 2004.

The data revealed that obesity is on the rise, despite health trends. “The updated analysis shows the predicted proportion of adults who will be obese aged 20-65 is 41% for men, and 36% for women. In the 40-65 age group, the predictions are 44% for men and 38% for women,” according to the National Heart Forum.

“The predicted proportion of adults who will be overweight aged 20-65 is 40% for men and 32% for women. In the 40-65 age group, the updated predictions are that 40% of men and 32% of women will be overweight.”


Interference from the complications of obesity has always had a direct link to type 2 diabetes, or adult onset diabetes. When the body is extremely overweight, or obese, it overproduces insulin, forcing it stop producing the appropriate amounts, which causes complications to blood sugar levels, and eventually leads to the body developing a resistance to insulin.

“These trends demonstrate that the cautiously optimistic picture we presented in November 2009 for a leveling off of future obesity rates among children is not mirrored in adults. There are already more men who are obese than who are of a healthy weight and by the end of the decade obese men and women could outnumber those who are overweight. The serious health problems associated with obesity mean that these continuing rising trends will impose a substantially increased burden on the NHS.

“The Government needs to redouble its efforts to tackle obesity. We are being overwhelmed by the effects of today's 'obesogenic' environment, with its abundance of energy dense food and sedentary lifestyles."

Source: National Heart Forum

Written by Amy Munday